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Wok edited this page Dec 30, 2021 · 13 revisions

Educated Guesses

Posted on December 20, 2021 at 11h25 AM.

Educated guesses on December 20

Late Leaks

Posted on December 26, 2021 at 4h36 AM: https://www.dealabs.com/comments/permalink/35830785

Late leaks on December 26

Posted on Bilibili (Chinese Youtube) on December 25, 2021 at 20h14: https://www.bilibili.com/video/BV1wq4y1m7sm

Late leaks on Bilibili on December 25

Posted on Tieba (Chinese Reddit) on December 25, 2021 at 3h26 AM: https://tieba.baidu.com/p/7671504451

Late leaks on Tieba on December 25

NB: all the timestamps above have been adjusted to my timezone (UTC+1).

Retrospective Look

In retrospect, there was a mistake (and one third of a mistake 😆) in the educated guesses:

  • on December 26, the game given away (the "base edition" of the game "Control") was not "new to EGS".

What allowed this giveaway to fly under the radar is that the "base edition" will not be discounted at all during the sales. It is a special case, because the publisher focuses on the "ultimate edition" (with DLC) and uses the "base edition" for:

  • bundles with Humble Choice,
  • giveaways on Epic Games store,
  • subscriptions with PC Game Pass.

Meanwhile, the "base edition" is not sold on Steam: only the "ultimate edition" is on the Steam store. The publisher is not interested in selling the base edition, and thus does not try to incentivize sales by offering a discount during sales.

  • on December 30, a trilogy will be given away, it is indeed "new to EGS". However, it includes:
    • 2 games (Tomb Raider, Shadow of the Tomb Raider) which are new to EGS,
    • 1 game (Rise of the Tomb Raider) which is already available on EGS.

Technically , that is 1/3 of a mistake. 😆

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