Instructors: Giancarlo Camarda & Ugofilippo Basellini
This repository contains the slides and the reading list for the International advanced studies in DEMography (IDEM) 117 course on "Advances in Mortality Forecasting". The course was offered in June 2021 and January 2022. For questions about this course, please contact us at carlo-giovanni.camarda@ined.fr and basellini@demogr.mpg.de
- Setting the methodological ground
- Generalized (Non-)Linear Models
- Singular Value Decomposition & Newton's method
- ARIMA models & residual bootstrap
- Starting with mortality forecasting
- Mortality forecasting: an introduction
- The Lee-Carter model
- Forecasting in a smoothing context
- The Segmented Transformation Age-at-death Distributions model
- An introduction to coherent mortality forecasting