Skip to content

Paper: Historical Context and Current Trends in Predicting Voter Turnout in Douglas County, Nebraska

Notifications You must be signed in to change notification settings

james-geiger/dc-ne-voter-turnout

Repository files navigation

Historical Context and Current Trends in Predicting Voter Turnout in Douglas County, Nebraska

Authors

Abstract

Historically, the trend in voter participation for elections in the United States is based on the expansion of voting rights. Voter turnout becomes gradually larger over the years as access to voting is made easier and more equitable. In this research, the analysis of voter turnout will be focused on Douglas County, Nebraska. Using public data from the Douglas County Election Commission and the United States Census Bureau, we identify a positive trend in voter registration in the past 20 years, especially among voters who identify as other- or non-partisan. We furthermore identify an upward trend in population growth among White residents while the population of other demographic groups remains flat. Ultimately, we present a preliminary model that local election commissions could employ to predict voter turnout by predicting voter turnout for the 2020 general election. The results of the preliminary model are promising—the model was able to predict turnout to a difference within 3,000 voters.

About

Paper: Historical Context and Current Trends in Predicting Voter Turnout in Douglas County, Nebraska

Resources

Stars

Watchers

Forks

Releases

No releases published

Packages

No packages published