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Implementing component GARCH process #188
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Commits on Jul 9, 2017
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Commits on Jul 10, 2017
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Commits on Jul 13, 2017
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Commits on Jul 22, 2017
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Commits on Jul 24, 2017
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Commits on Jul 25, 2017
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Commits on Jul 28, 2017
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Commits on Jul 29, 2017
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Commits on Jul 31, 2017
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Commits on Aug 1, 2017
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Add cgarch class tests to tests file
Also correct error in cgarch simulation and add str method in volatility file
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Commits on Aug 2, 2017
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Commits on Aug 3, 2017
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Commits on Aug 4, 2017
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Modify doc for longterm_variance
The method doc was referring to conditional volatility
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Add longterm forecast property to VarianceForecast class
This will be helpful when the volatility Process outputs a long erm component in addition to the conditional volatility.
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Modify _one_step_forecast to cater for cgarch
The method is moified for the base Volatility process to allow for a volatility process with a component to have its longterm forecasts returned
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Modify CGARCH forecast methods
CGARCH process can now also produce forecasts for its long term component. This builds on functionality added to _one_step_forecast and VarianceForecast.
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Fix assignment bug in VarianceForecast
The longterm forecasts attribute was returning None due to erroneous assignment
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Modify ARCHModelForecast to handle component forecasts
The class now has a default property for longterm component forecasts
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Modify HARX model to cater for component volatility processes
Now forecasts will include the component part
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Fix bug in HARX model forecast return
ARCHModelForecast args were not input correctly
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Fix bug in handling tuple return
Previously tuple return from compute_variance was unpacked poorly leading to the last item being overwritten by the first
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The Variance forecast method did not have the longterm component argument.
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The docs now show presence of cgarch process and longterm variance attribute
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CGARCH starting values search space was too small.rho now includes 0.65
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Commits on Aug 5, 2017
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Convergence is difficult for garch models because of the samll values
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Commits on Aug 6, 2017
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It turns out that not scaling my data was the reason the solver could not find a direction to descend to.This could not be fixed by tweaking starting values or bounds. Now bunds have been returned to their text book versions.
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Commits on Sep 21, 2017
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Commits on Sep 24, 2017
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Commits on Nov 19, 2017
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Add new commits from bashtage and clear conflicts
Macharia committedNov 19, 2017 Configuration menu - View commit details
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Merge branch 'master' of https://github.com/RichardMM/arch into cgarch
Macharia committedNov 19, 2017 Configuration menu - View commit details
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Merge branch 'master' of https://github.com/RichardMM/arch into cgarch
Macharia committedNov 19, 2017 Configuration menu - View commit details
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