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Setup end to end demo architecture for predicting fraud events with Machine Learning using Amazon SageMaker

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aws-solutions-library-samples/fraud-detection-using-machine-learning

Guidance for Fraud Detection using Machine Learning on AWS

Table of Contents

  1. Overview
  2. Prerequisites
  3. Architecture
  4. Deployment Steps
  5. Deployment Validation
  6. Running the Guidance
  7. Next Steps
  8. Cleanup
  9. Notices

Overview

With businesses moving online, fraud and abuse in online systems is constantly increasing as well. Traditionally, rule-based fraud detection systems are used to combat online fraud, but these rely on a static set of rules created by human experts. This project uses machine learning to create models for fraud detection that are dynamic, self-improving and maintainable. Importantly, they can scale with the online business.

Specifically, we show how to use Amazon SageMaker to train supervised and unsupervised machine learning models on historical transactions, so that they can predict the likelihood of incoming transactions being fraudulent or not. We also show how to deploy the models, once trained, to a REST API that can be integrated into an existing business software infrastructure. This project includes a demonstration of this process using a public, anonymized credit card transactions dataset provided by ULB, but can be easily modified to work with custom labelled or unlaballed data provided as a relational table in csv format.

AWS services

Cost

The following table provides a sample cost breakdown for deploying this Guidance with the default parameters in the US East (N. Virginia) Region for one month.

AWS service Dimensions Monthly cost [USD]
Amazon S3 Standard S3 Standard storage (10 GB per month), Data returned by S3 Select (10 GB per month), Data scanned by S3 Select (10 GB per month) $0.26
Amazon S3 Data Transfer DT Inbound: Not selected (0 TB per month), DT Outbound: Not selected (0 TB per month) $0
Amazon SageMaker Studio Notebooks Instance name (ml.c5.12xlarge), Number of data scientist(s) (5), Number of Studio Notebook instances per data scientist (2), Studio Notebook hour(s) per day (3), Studio Notebook day(s) per month (10) $734.4
Amazon SageMaker Processing Storage (General Purpose SSD (gp2)), Instance name (ml.c4.2xlarge), Number of processing jobs per month (20), Number of instances per job (2), Hour(s) per instance per job (2) $39.24
Amazon SageMaker Training Storage (General Purpose SSD (gp2)), Instance name (ml.c4.2xlarge), Number of training jobs per month (20), Number of instances per job (2), Hour(s) per instance per job (3) $58.76
Amazon SageMaker Real-Time Inference Storage (General Purpose SSD (gp2)), Instance name (ml.c4.2xlarge), Instance name (ml.c4.2xlarge), Number of models deployed (5), Number of models per endpoint (5), Number of instances per endpoint (2), Endpoint hour(s) per day (3), Endpoint day(s) per month (20), Data Processed IN (10 GB), Data Processed OUT (8 GB) $59.05
AWS Lambda Architecture (x86), Architecture (x86), Invoke Mode (Buffered), Amount of ephemeral storage allocated (512 MB), Number of requests (1 million per month) $0
Amazon API Gateway Cache memory size (GB) (None), WebSocket message units (thousands), HTTP API requests units (millions), Average size of each request (34 KB), REST API request units (millions), Average message size (32 KB), Requests (1 per month) $1
Amazon Kinesis Data Firehose Dynamic Partitioning (Add On) (Disabled), Source Type (Direct PUT or Kinesis Data Stream), Average ratio of data processed to VPC vs data ingested (1.3), Data records units (millions), Record size (100 KB), Data format conversion (optional) (Disabled), Number of records for data ingestion (1 per month), Data format conversion (optional) (Disabled), Data records units (thousands), Record size (5 KB) $2.77
Amazon S3 Standard S3 Standard storage (100 GB per month) $2.3
Total $897.78

Prerequisites

You will need an AWS account to use this solution. Sign up for an account here.

To run this JumpStart 1P Solution and have the infrastructure deploy to your AWS account you will need to create an active SageMaker Studio instance (see Onboard to Amazon SageMaker Studio). When your Studio instance is Ready, use the instructions in SageMaker JumpStart to 1-Click Launch the solution.

The solution artifacts are included in this GitHub repository for reference.

Note: Solutions are available in most regions including us-west-2, and us-east-1.

Caution: Cloning this GitHub repository and running the code manually could lead to unexpected issues! Use the AWS CloudFormation template. You'll get an Amazon SageMaker Notebook instance that's been correctly setup and configured to access the other resources in the solution.

Architecture

The project architecture deployed by the cloud formation template is shown here.

Deployment Steps

The project uses Amazon SageMaker to train both a supervised and an unsupervised machine learning models, which are then deployed using Amazon Sagemaker-managed endpoints.

If you have labels for your data, for example if some of the transactions have been annotated as fraudulent and some as legitimate, then you can train a supervised learning model to learn to discern the two classes. In this project, we provide a recipe to train a gradient boosted decision tree model using XGBoost on Amazon SageMaker. The supervised model training process also handles the common issue of working with highly imbalanced data in fraud detection problems. The project addresses this issue into two ways by 1) implementing data upsampling using the "imbalanced-learn" package, and 2) using scale position weight to control the balance of positive and negative weights.

If you don't have labelled data or if you want to augment your supervised model predictions with an anomaly score from an unsupervised model, then the project also trains a RandomCutForest model using Amazon SageMaker. The RandomCutForest algorithm is trained on the entire dataset, without labels, and takes advantage of the highly imbalanced nature of fraud datasets, to predict higher anomaly scores for the fraudulent transactions in the dataset.

Both of the trained models are deployed to Amazon SageMaker managed real-time endpoints that host the models and can be invoked to provide model predictions for new transactions.

The model training and endpoint deployment is orchestrated by running a jupyter notebook on a SageMaker Notebook instance. The jupyter notebook runs a demonstration of the project using the aforementioned anonymized credit card dataset that is automatically downloaded to the Amazon S3 Bucket created when you launch the solution. However, the notebook can be modified to run the project on a custom dataset in S3. The notebook instance also contains some example code that shows how to invoke the REST API for inference.

In order to encapsulate the project as a stand-alone microservice, Amazon API Gateway is used to provide a REST API, that is backed by an AWS Lambda function. The Lambda function runs the code necessary to preprocess incoming transactions, invoke sagemaker endpoints, merge results from both endpoints if necessary, store the model inputs and model predictions in S3 via Kinesis Firehose, and provide a response to the client.

Data

The example dataset used in this solution was originally released as part of a research collaboration of Worldline and the Machine Learning Group (http://mlg.ulb.ac.be) of ULB (Université Libre de Bruxelles) on big data mining and fraud detection.

The dataset contains credit card transactions from European cardholders in 2013. As is common in fraud detection, it is highly unbalanced, with 492 fraudulent transactions out of the 284,807 total transactions. The dataset contains only numerical features, because the original features have been transformed for confidentiality using PCA. As a result, the dataset contains 28 PCA components, and two features that haven't been transformed, Amount and Time. Amount refers to the transaction amount, and Time is the seconds elapsed between any transaction in the data and the first transaction.

More details on current and past projects on related topics are available on https://www.researchgate.net/project/Fraud-detection-5 and the page of the DefeatFraud project

We cite the following works:

  • Andrea Dal Pozzolo, Olivier Caelen, Reid A. Johnson and Gianluca Bontempi. Calibrating Probability with Undersampling for Unbalanced Classification. In Symposium on Computational Intelligence and Data Mining (CIDM), IEEE, 2015
  • Dal Pozzolo, Andrea; Caelen, Olivier; Le Borgne, Yann-Ael; Waterschoot, Serge; Bontempi, Gianluca. Learned lessons in credit card fraud detection from a practitioner perspective, Expert systems with applications,41,10,4915-4928,2014, Pergamon
  • Dal Pozzolo, Andrea; Boracchi, Giacomo; Caelen, Olivier; Alippi, Cesare; Bontempi, Gianluca. Credit card fraud detection: a realistic modeling and a novel learning strategy, IEEE transactions on neural networks and learning systems,29,8,3784-3797,2018,IEEE
  • Dal Pozzolo, Andrea Adaptive Machine learning for credit card fraud detection ULB MLG PhD thesis (supervised by G. Bontempi)
  • Carcillo, Fabrizio; Dal Pozzolo, Andrea; Le Borgne, Yann-Aël; Caelen, Olivier; Mazzer, Yannis; Bontempi, Gianluca. Scarff: a scalable framework for streaming credit card fraud detection with Spark, Information fusion,41, 182-194,2018,Elsevier
  • Carcillo, Fabrizio; Le Borgne, Yann-Aël; Caelen, Olivier; Bontempi, Gianluca. Streaming active learning strategies for real-life credit card fraud detection: assessment and visualization, International Journal of Data Science and Analytics, 5,4,285-300,2018,Springer International Publishing

Running the Guidance

  • deployment/
    • fraud-detection-using-machine-learning.yaml: Creates AWS CloudFormation Stack for solution
  • source/
    • lambda
      • model-invocation/
        • index.py: Lambda function script for invoking SageMaker endpoints for inference
    • notebooks/
      • src
        • package
          • config.py: Read in the environment variables set during the Amazon CloudFormation stack creation
          • generate_endpoint_traffic.py: Custom script to show how to send transaction traffic to REST API for inference
          • util.py: Helper function and utilities
      • sagemaker_fraud_detection.ipynb: Orchestrates the solution. Trains the models and deploys the trained model
      • endpoint_demo.ipynb: A small notebook that demonstrates how one can use the solution's endpoint to make prediction.
    • scripts/
      • set_kernelspec.py: Used to update the kernelspec name at deployment.
    • test/
      • Files that are used to automatically test the solution

License

This project is licensed under the Apache-2.0 License.

Notices

Customers are responsible for making their own independent assessment of the information in this Guidance. This Guidance: (a) is for informational purposes only, (b) represents AWS current product offerings and practices, which are subject to change without notice, and (c) does not create any commitments or assurances from AWS and its affiliates, suppliers or licensors. AWS products or services are provided “as is” without warranties, representations, or conditions of any kind, whether express or implied. AWS responsibilities and liabilities to its customers are controlled by AWS agreements, and this Guidance is not part of, nor does it modify, any agreement between AWS and its customers.