The Casualties of War: An Excess Mortality Estimate of Lives Lost in the 2020 Nagorno-Karabakh Conflict

Data and Results for Karlinsky & Torrisi (2023): The Casualties of War: An Excess Mortality Estimate of Lives Lost in the 2020 Nagorno-Karabakh Conflict. Population Research and Policy Review

Contents

KT_NK_War_data.csv contains all papers' data and estimates. See published record for details. The variables in the file are:

Raw data

• territory: Name of the country or territory: Armenia, Azerbaijan, Artsakh, Georgia, Dagestan Republic (Russia), Iranian Azerbaijan.
• group: War (belligerents) or Neighbors.
• sex: Female or Male.
• age_group: Age group.
• age_low: Lower bound of age group.
• year: 2015 to 2020.
• deaths: Total annual deaths for territory-sex-age_group.

Estimates

• mean_pred, trend_pred, lc_pred: Point estimates for 2020 expected deaths from Overdisperessed Poisson Mean, OP Trend and Lee-Carter models.
• ci_low, ci_high: Confidence interval lower and upper bound for each estimate.
• final_pred: Final point estimate for 2020 expected deaths.
• final_ci_low, final_ci_high: Final Enveloping Interval for 2020 expected deaths.
• excess, excess_low, excess_high: Point estimate and Enveloping Interval for 2020 excess deaths.