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Perceptions of Probability and Numbers

This Reddit post made the Longlist for the 2015 Kantar Information is Beautiful Awards: Link

About

These are a couple of polls inspired by the Sherman Kent CIA study shown in the images below (discussion in this thread). I was super happy when they matched up.

The raw data came from /r/samplesize responses to the following question: What [probability/number] would you assign to the phrase "[phrase]"? I have the raw CSV data from the poll in this repository.

Gallery

Sherman-Kent Study:

Sherman-Kent Study

/r/Samplesize Data:

Reproduction of the Sherman-Kent Study

Additional survey questions

Tools

The data was compiled with R, and graphed in ggplot2.

Source

This data was gathered using Reddit's /r/samplesize community.

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Perceptions of Probability and Numbers

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